Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#165
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#163
Pace75.5#64
Improvement-4.7#330

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#285
First Shot-3.8#279
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#215
Layup/Dunks-2.7#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#226
Freethrows+1.9#52
Improvement-1.2#242

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#78
First Shot+3.0#81
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#97
Layups/Dunks+2.3#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#36
Freethrows-1.3#253
Improvement-3.5#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 213   IUPUI L 70-72 71%     0 - 1 -8.2 -7.0 -1.1
  Nov 16, 2015 164   Wyoming W 70-55 61%     1 - 1 +11.8 -7.2 +19.0
  Nov 20, 2015 241   Norfolk St. W 70-61 66%     2 - 1 +4.3 -7.2 +11.5
  Nov 22, 2015 64   Tulsa L 59-67 20%     2 - 2 +0.4 -15.9 +17.0
  Nov 23, 2015 96   Hofstra W 67-66 28%     3 - 2 +6.8 -8.8 +15.5
  Dec 01, 2015 264   @ Eastern Illinois L 62-68 62%     3 - 3 -9.5 -10.2 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2015 31   @ Butler L 71-85 8%     3 - 4 +1.3 -2.5 +5.0
  Dec 09, 2015 52   Valparaiso L 63-69 24%     3 - 5 +0.9 -4.1 +5.1
  Dec 13, 2015 181   @ Western Kentucky L 62-75 41%     3 - 6 -11.1 -12.0 +0.7
  Dec 19, 2015 211   @ Saint Louis W 76-68 50%     4 - 6 +7.7 +3.8 +3.6
  Dec 22, 2015 160   Ball St. W 73-61 59%     5 - 6 +9.3 -3.5 +12.2
  Dec 30, 2015 78   @ Evansville L 62-70 17%     5 - 7 0 - 1 +1.9 -8.9 +11.4
  Jan 02, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago W 73-58 62%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +11.3 +1.3 +10.1
  Jan 06, 2016 254   @ Drake W 79-69 58%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +7.4 +2.1 +5.2
  Jan 09, 2016 121   Illinois St. W 77-65 48%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +12.0 -1.5 +12.3
  Jan 13, 2016 80   Northern Iowa W 74-60 33%     9 - 7 4 - 1 +18.1 +8.8 +10.1
  Jan 17, 2016 24   @ Wichita St. L 62-82 6%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -2.5 -0.5 -1.5
  Jan 20, 2016 135   @ Southern Illinois L 66-79 30%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -8.1 -7.7 +0.2
  Jan 24, 2016 78   Evansville W 82-65 33%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +21.1 +14.1 +7.3
  Jan 27, 2016 221   Missouri St. W 68-59 72%     11 - 9 6 - 3 +2.5 -13.4 +15.0
  Jan 30, 2016 175   @ Loyola Chicago L 96-104 2OT 40%     11 - 10 6 - 4 -5.8 +9.2 -13.6
  Feb 02, 2016 254   Drake W 63-56 78%     12 - 10 7 - 4 -1.4 -15.6 +14.3
  Feb 06, 2016 314   @ Bradley L 58-63 75%     12 - 11 7 - 5 -12.3 -14.5 +2.4
  Feb 10, 2016 135   Southern Illinois L 78-85 52%     12 - 12 7 - 6 -7.9 +3.5 -11.3
  Feb 13, 2016 221   @ Missouri St. L 85-89 OT 51%     12 - 13 7 - 7 -4.6 +3.6 -7.8
  Feb 17, 2016 121   @ Illinois St. L 50-78 27%     12 - 14 7 - 8 -22.1 -17.5 -4.9
  Feb 21, 2016 24   Wichita St. L 51-84 13%     12 - 15 7 - 9 -21.4 -15.9 -3.4
  Feb 24, 2016 80   @ Northern Iowa L 44-66 17%     12 - 16 7 - 10 -12.1 -18.0 +3.4
  Feb 27, 2016 314   Bradley W 77-58 88%     13 - 16 8 - 10 +5.8 +1.5 +3.7
  Mar 04, 2016 121   Illinois St. W 65-57 37%     14 - 16 +11.0 -10.1 +20.4
  Mar 05, 2016 78   Evansville L 42-68 24%     14 - 17 -19.0 -21.5 -0.4
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%